Accountability Layer
Prediction Tracker
Every forward-looking claim published by Truidian is tracked here and resolved publicly. Accuracy is not hidden.
3
Open
1
Confirmed
1
Refuted
67%
Accuracy Rate
Wilshire variance will be approved with height reduction to 11 stories
Based on prior council votes on Wilshire corridor and CD5 signal on height compromise in committee meeting.
Caruso will file for a fourth parcel on Sunset before end of Q2
Three consecutive WeHo acquisitions in 90-day window following known strategic expansion signal.
Warner EIR will face public comment period extension — projected delay of 45+ days
Neighborhood group comments submitted prior to deadline indicate organized opposition. Two council members signaled concern in Apr 28 session.
Ocean Ave affordable housing overlay will pass with minor amendments at May 20 council session
Council support counted at 4-3 in pre-vote polling; amendment on setback likely to accommodate swing vote.
Overlay passed 4-3 with 8-foot setback amendment. Prediction confirmed.
Hyperion Ave ADU cluster would trigger neighbor appeal within 30 days
Similar 12-unit ADU project on Rowena faced appeal within 21 days in 2025.
No appeal filed by deadline. Project proceeding to construction phase. Prediction incorrect.
How Predictions Work
What qualifies as a prediction
A specific, falsifiable, time-bounded claim derived from primary source signals. No vague outlooks. No "could happen."
How resolution works
Each prediction resolves on its stated date using public records. Confirmed, refuted, or partial — with the source trail visible.
Accuracy accounting
Accuracy rate is computed from resolved predictions only. Partial confirmations count as 0.5. Nothing is retroactively removed.
Why this exists
If we cannot be held accountable for what we publish, the intelligence has no value. This tracker is the accountability mechanism.